Over the last two seasons, Brady has more attempts, completions and yards on throws at least 20 yards downfield than anyone else. It's no coincidence that Evans' play has skyrocketed since Tom Brady's arrival. Evans' eight straight seasons with 1,000 yards and 65 catches are tied for the second-longest in NFL history.Evans' eight straight 65-catch seasons are tied for the longest active streak in the league.Evans' eight straight 1,000-yard seasons is the longest active streak in the league.

I mentioned Evans' season-over-season consistency in the intro, but it warrants even more discussion. With Adams gone, they may be more run-heavy near the end zone. The Packers attempted 117 red zone passes last year, the third-most in the league. There's also a Davante Adams-size hole (169 targets) in the Green Bay offense, and Jones could play a large part in filling that hole. He's still very much in the lead role in Green Bay's backfield. Dillon's presence, but Jones played 55% of snaps last year, in line with his 2019 (56%) and 2020 (57%) campaigns. One area of concern for Jones would be A.J. A huge part of his consistency is his receiving chops: Jones and Alvin Kamara are the only two running backs who have run at least 250 routes and been targeted on at least 20% of those routes each of the last three seasons. Last year, Jones posted his fewest rushing yards in a season since 2018 and still managed to finish RB12 in total points and RB11 in points per game. In terms of year-over-year consistency, Mixon has been a top-10 running back in points per game each of the last two years.

In terms of week-to-week consistency, Mixon had 12 games with double-digit points last season, two more than Dalvin Cook, who is currently being drafted just ahead of Mixon. In the uber-valuable receiving category, Mixon set career highs in receiving yards (314) and routes run (300) while posting a career-low 2.1% drop rate. He had 25 touches in goal-to-go situations last year (only Jonathan Taylor and James Conner had more), and he played 89% of the team's goal-to-go snaps, the highest rate among running backs. Mixon's opportunities, though, come in particularly advantageous positions.

Of course, most first-round players are going to have a huge role. Over the last three seasons, his 20.7 touches per game rank behind only Derrick Henry and Dalvin Cook (min. In an era where many teams use a by-committee approach at running back, Mixon is the main man in Cincinnati. Last year, he played 64% of his team's offensive snaps, fourth among running backs. Looking at the most basic metrics, Mixon ensures a strong floor if you're picking late in the first round. All stats are based on point-per-reception (PPR) scoring. Notes: Average Draft Position (ADP) is available here. Here are the players who can provide that. But when you take those big swings, you need to balance it out with safer bets. You need to take some bigger swings than what's below. The following list isn't who to draft in every round. In 2020, over one-third of his fantasy points for the entire season came in two games.īuilding a championship-caliber fantasy football team requires a mix of boom-or-bust players and high-floor players. In the five weeks after that, he averaged 6.6 points, which ranked WR84. In Week 2, 2021, Lockett had 31.8 points, second to Cooper Kupp. Tyler Lockett, for example, has been extremely consistent year-over-year: Lockett and Mike Evans are the only two players with at least 950 receiving yards and eight receiving touchdowns each of the past four seasons. There are different ways to define 'consistent' in fantasy football. There are few things better at soothing a fantasy football manager's worries than a consistent player: someone who you can plug into your lineup and know a solid performance awaits.

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